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Monthly Archives: March 2017

Confidence Bank Account

Part 4: Investment Strategy

March 26, 2017Will Burnardcartoon, economics, life, life lessons, metaphor, psychology, quotes 1 Comment
This is part 4 of a series titled the “Confidence Bank Account.” To start from the beginning, please click here.
poor in spirit copy

If you were allowed one wish for your child, seriously consider wishing him or her optimism. Optimists are normally cheerful and happy, and therefore popular; they are resilient in adapting to failures and hardships, their chances of clinical depression are reduce, their immune system is stronger, they take better care of their health, they feel healthier than others and are in fact likely to live longer. […] Of course, the blessings of optimism are offered only to individuals who are only mildly biased and who are able to “accentuate the positive” without losing track of reality.

—Daniel Kahneman, psychologist, Thinking, Fast and Slow

There are two ways to increase our Confidence Bank Account balance: 1. Earn more or 2. Spend less. A skilled investor chooses investments that yield high returns (earning more) while simultaneously minimizing losses (spending less).  This is why natural optimists are natural confidence investors: They focus on positives instead of negatives, increasing the value of their accolades while minimizing the confidence withdrawals of their failures. In this way, natural optimists start out with a huge advantage in life. But while our temperament certainly plays a role, confidence investing can be learned by even the most pessimistic among us.

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To spend less in the confidence economy is to care less. This is not the same as being careless or indifferent; it’s about having priorities—focusing our energy on the what’s important. Learning to have an optimistic outlook leads us to focus more on the positive sides of life. In other words, positivity breeds gratitude, and gratitude leads to huge confidence savings.

In the confidence economy, negativity is what constitutes our spending—either through criticism, self-doubt, scandal, or otherwise. Yet many of us continually invest in negative thinking, negative speech, and negative actions. Some of us even make our living by finding faults in others (ex. dentists). Being grateful, on the other hand, is equivalent to using coupons and shopping on sale. By regularly focusing on our blessings, we decrease the costs of our negativity.

To be clear, there will always be some level of negativity to life. A positive temperament does not protect us against making poor confidence investments, but it can make us more resilient. As renowned psychologist, Albert Bandura, writes, “The important matter is not that difficulties arouse self-doubt, which is a natural immediate reaction, but the speed of recovery of perceived self-efficacy from difficulties.” Or to quote another highly academic source, “I get knocked down, but I get up again. You’re never gonna keep me down” (Chumbawamba, 1995). Skilled confidence investors know how to cut their losses, focus on the positive, and move forward (rather than dwelling on the past). They also know where to invest.

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Earning more confidence is a matter of investing in high-yield assets. Everyone’s preferences and values are unique; therefore, there are no universal “right” investments. But there are clear differences between putting too much focus on our appearance and social media followers while neglecting to develop useful life skills and meaningful relationships. In economic jargon, we want to invest in confidence assets not liabilities. And as with any good investment account, diversification helps protect against the downside.

To quote television personality, Judge Judy, “Beauty Fades, Dumb is Forever.”  Like the depreciation of a new car, physical appearance and other confidence liabilities are depreciating utilities—vehicles to get us from point A to point B. This is not to say we shouldn’t invest in confidence liabilities. They can certainly create value in the short-term. Many of us even use our physical attributes as leverage to achieve long-term ends (ex. Sugaring, as in “sugar daddy” relationships). But over-investing in liabilities can lead to a lack of confidence later in life. Everyone ages, and when we do, we need confidence assets in our portfolio.

Unlike confidence liabilities, assets compound over time. Developing valuable skills, individual passions, meaningful work, friends and family—these types of investments have the ability to grow exponentially. Investing in deep relationships, for instance, allows us to be comfortable with who we are and create a safe and secure environment to build our confidence wealth.

But meaningful relationships do not always yield short-term confidence. In fact, our closest friends and family can often be so brutally honest that they crush our confidence. That’s when we focus on the positives of life, put short-term criticism into perspective, and move on. That’s when we learn to be skilled confidence  investors.


SUMMARY

  1. C = pF – nF , Confidence = Positive Feedback – Negative Feedback
  2. C = pK(pF) + nK(nF), Confidence = (Positive Disposition Coefficient  x  Positive Feedback) – (Negative Disposition Coefficient  x  Negative Feedback)
  3. pK [negative demeanor] < 1 < pK [positive demeanor], If Positive Disposition Coefficient is >1, consistent with a Positive Demeanor (enhancing positive feedback)
  4. nK [positive demeanor] < 1 < nK [negative demeanor], If Negative Disposition Coefficient is <1, consistent with Positive Demeanor (minimizing negative feedback)

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*Disclaimer: The Confidence Bank Account is in no way scientific, mathematically sound, nor inclusive of quantitative data, so please sit back, relax, and enjoy the thought experiment.

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Confidence Bank Account

Part 3: Integrity

March 19, 2017Will Burnardcartoon, economics, life, metaphor 1 Comment
This is part 3 of a series titled the “Confidence Bank Account.” To start from the beginning, please click here.
reality check
[Lily:] Hey, Barney, it’s weird not seeing you in a suit. What’s going on?

[Barney:] Uh, not much. My entire sexual history was built on a rotting foundation of lies. My whole identity is lost in a pit of menthol ashes. Work is good.

—How I Met Your Mother, Season 3, Episode 10: “The Yips” (2007)

There is debt in the world of self-confidence (let’s call it, “ConfiDebt,” for short). This debt occurs when we make a promise, either to ourselves or to others, and then never deliver. There’s an initial feel-good aspect at the time of any promise—attending a friend’s stand up comedy performance or a child’s ballet recital, we may say “I’m such a good friend/parent/sibling/etc. I’m going to do X, because I promised.” But these initial positive feelings (confidence deposits) come at a cost: We must actually do what we promise to do. And just like a credit card, if we do not pay off our debt in a timely manner (ex. at the time of the comedy show), the cost of those seemingly little promises add up at insanely high interest rates.

This idea of purchasing confidence on credit goes beyond friendships. Swindling, fabricating data, general dishonesty—people use these techniques to gain prestige, material wealth, and positive feedback all the time. There are repercussions to our actions, however. Hindus may call it “Karma,” Wall Street may call it  a “correction,” emotionally it’s often felt as guilt, but whatever the manifestation, buying confidence with dishonesty is like racking up huge amounts of debt and not having the means to pay it back. When lenders come to collect, it leads to personal ruin—both in actual money and in confidence. We cannot prop ourselves up on a foundation of lies forever. So while overall confidence is an important KPI of a person’s life, it is a person’s integrity that is a more accurate indicator.

In the Confidence Bank Account, Confidence is the gross total of our account, but Integrity is the net. In business-speak, Confidence lest ConfiDebt is Integrity. Or, to put it another way, integrity is our confidence earned through honest, healthy principles—well-deserved and well-earned confidence—the opposite of the prototypical 1980s investment banker without moral compass.

To have integrity—to have a net positive in our Confidence Bank Account—requires a balanced approach to life. High integrity indicates honesty, positive self-esteem, self-assurance, being well-grounded, and often a diversified portfolio of confidence assets (including positive personal relationships). Finding the right personal investment strategy and optimizing our current portfolio in the confidence economy is an ongoing process. But more on that next week…


SUMMARY

  1. C = pF – nF , Confidence = Positive Feedback – Negative Feedback
  2. I = C – D, Integrity = Confidence – ConfiDebt

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*Disclaimer: The Confidence Bank Account is in no way scientific, mathematically sound, nor inclusive of quantitative data, so please sit back, relax, and enjoy the thought experiment.

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Confidence Bank Account

Part 2: Income Streams

March 12, 2017Will Burnardcartoon, economics, life, metaphor Leave a comment

This is part 2 of a series titled the “Confidence Bank Account.” To start from the beginning, please click here.

lions_approvalOur lives are made up one simple cycle: Doing, feedback, adjusting (repeat). Within this cycle, the balance between feedback is key to our self-confidence. Everyone has a unique mix of internal and external feedback in their lives. The difference between us is in the ratio between the two—how much confidence we earn in either the public or private sector: Do we primarily seek approval through our own critiques or through the opinions and evaluations of others?

Like the financial world, individuals often gravitate toward one confidence sector more than the other. As people frequently fluctuate between the two, it is impossible to know the motivations of those around us. From the scantily clad bombshell at the bar to the high-achieving, future Madam President, we cannot know if they work primarily for their own approval or the approval of others. We can only know ourselves (and even that can be tricky).

PUBLIC SECTOR

Some of us earn the majority of our confidence from outside accolades. In fact, this is how all of us start in the confidence economy. As infants, the outside world is entirely new, so we explore it for signs of encouraging feedback—a parent’s loving voice, a bright colored toy, or, alternatively, a not-so-delicious handful of dirt.

As we get older, we begin to develop our own internal assessment of how we’re doing (private sector), but public feedback can continue to guide us. The Confidence Public Sector can provide a sense of reality that we would not otherwise have. After all, no one’s perception of reality is 100% accurate. We use others’ input to improve and help validate our actions. (A fresh set of eyes can make all the difference after spending countless hours on a project.) That being said, there are downsides to focusing too heavily on the opinions of others.

Relying on public feedback for our confidence puts us in a vulnerable position: Others’ preferences—not our own—dictate how we gain approval, how we earn our confidence. Surround ourselves by honest, moral, hard-working people, and the Confidence Public Sector can provide a lucrative stream of income. But if death and destruction are what our surroundings seek, then death and destruction are what will be rewarded.

Unfortunately, when our self-esteem is running low, we may be “low-confidence” for that very reason: Our surroundings are not ideal. And having low-confidence can make internal validation—a private sector job—difficult (or even impossible). There is a minimum confidence requirement before we have the space to self-evaluate. We must have enough self-confidence before  we can trust our internal judgements. Just as an infant must first learn to crawl before he walks, we must build up our Confidence Bank Account with public feedback before moving into the private sector.

PRIVATE SECTOR

For those of us who work primarily in the private sector of the confidence economy, we enjoy the control that comes with creating confidence for ourselves. Like growing our own food rather than relying on others, private confidence can protect us against negative outside forces. One example of this protective mechanism is the internal pep talk.

If our daily grind is relatively negative, it can be helpful to periodically stop and remind ourselves that we’re “on the right track,” that our efforts are not in vain, and that we can and will achieve our goals. This type of internal validation can be extremely productive. We are making small, frequent deposits into our Confidence  Bank Account, which grow into a substantial sum over time. But, as with all things, there are limitations, including at least two caveats to private sector earnings:

The first caveat is that self-delusion is a real risk of private confidence. When we make an unfounded confidence deposit (ex. telling ourselves how great we are at work, when there is considerable evidence to the contrary), we are using borrowed confidence points; we are, in essence, taking a small confidence loan that will need to be paid back. And “paying back confidence” means performing to the level we’ve stated we would. When we are unable to deliver on our claims, a confidence default occurs, and the negative consequences far outweigh the confidence boost of the initial loan. But more on that next time.

The second caveat to the Confidence Private Sector is that our natural temperament makes a huge difference in how effective internal validation can be. If a person is inherently negative, working in the private sector may backfire. Crippling self-doubt can blind us to positive praise and external accolades, forcing even the most laudable deeds to go unnoticed. Confidence earned with a negative mindset goes undeposited, like earning a large paycheck and leaving it in our wallet forever.

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If we are unable or unwilling to accept our good deeds as positive, then whether we work primarily in the public or private sector makes no difference. But ultimately, we need both internal and external feedback to have a balanced Confidence Bank Account. Too much internal validation and we lose touch with reality. Too much external feedback and we fall victim to the opinions, values, and desires of others, in turn, taking away one of the most important components of the Confidence Bank Account—ourselves.


SUMMARY

  1. C = pF – nF , Confidence = Positive Feedback – Negative Feedback
  2. pF = eVL + iVL, Positive Feedback = External Validation + Internal Validation
  3. nF = eDS + iDS, Negative Feedback = External Disapproval + Internal Disapproval

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*Disclaimer: The Confidence Bank Account is in no way scientific, mathematically sound, nor inclusive of quantitative data, so please sit back, relax, and enjoy the thought experiment.

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Confidence Bank Account

Part 1: Account Balance

March 2, 2017Will Burnardcartoon, economics, ideas, life, metaphor 5 Comments

naked_confidenceWe all have a Confidence Bank Account. Some people seem to have an endless supply of confidence, which buffers them from criticism, mistakes, and failures. Others seem to be forever “in the red,” suffering from self-doubt, low self-esteem, and even depression. But where does this elusive quality come from? How can we earn more of it? And why do some people seem to be immune to the psychologic effects of failure?

At the most basic level, our lives are a cycle of doing, receiving feedback, making adjustments, and repeating. The more positive feedback we receive, the more confident we become; we’re “on the right track.” On the surface, the Confidence Bank Account is a simple concept: Positive feedback is a deposit into the account, negative feedback is a withdrawal, and any positivity left over means we’re confident. As we know from experience, however, self-confidence isn’t so simple.

There are modulating (modifying) factors that affect our confidence levels. Most of us can probably think of at least one person who, despite constant criticism and teasing, seems unfazed or unaware—blissfully ignorant to the negativity. For the rest of us (the people who are very aware of the feedback we receive from the world), our ego fluctuates with the tide of negative and positive validation, both internally and externally.

Theoretically, a person with more positive than negative feedback in her life has more confidence overall. After all, history has shown that, on average, her actions are more likely to be rewarded than punished. But like money in an actual bank account, confidence is unevenly distributed in the population, is subject to market forces, and people make poor investment decisions. Also, while positive feedback may create significant deposits at the time—whether good grades in school, complements on our looks, or the honeymoon happiness of a new relationship—there is deflation to worry about. Those big deposits are less valuable as time goes by.

But why does any of this matter? Well, confidence itself is just one aspect of life, but it serves as a valuable proxy for several other factors. It acts as a KPI (Key Performance Indicator). For most of us, being genuinely confident serves as a rough estimate for the health of our interpersonal relationships, having strong guiding principles, our mental well-being, and life stability overall. It’s not a perfect metric, but it’s a useful litmus test. With a handful of other KPIs (ex. humility, integrity, and appreciation to name a few), we can monitor and evaluate the overall health of our lives.

In this multipart series, I will attempt to shed light on the Confidence Bank Account as a whole, including key sources of revenue, confidence investment strategies, confidence debt, maximizing profits, and charitable donations. It is my personal goal that the financial analogy will help clarify the often ambiguous and elusive qualities of life—the parts that make life worth living.


SUMMARY:

  1. C = pF – nF , Confidence = Positive Feedback – Negative Feedback

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*Disclaimer: The Confidence Bank Account is in no way scientific, mathematically sound, nor inclusive of quantitative data, so please sit back, relax, and enjoy the thought experiment.

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